Task 3 Development of Integrated Urban Land Use and Transport Strategy

Task 3-2 Preparation of Urban Growth Scenarios

In this task, optimal land use and transport systems will be examined. For analytical purposes, urban growth scenarios will be developed in combination with strategic level transport networks. Box 2 provides typical urban development forms.

Master Plans regulate land use pattern, but the CMP could provide a preferred growth scenario from the viewpoint of an optimal urban land use and transport development pattern. If the preferred urban growth pattern differs from that specified in the Master Plan, such changes may be reflected in future versions of the Master Plan.

Box 2 Basic Prototypes of Urban Development Forms

(This box is extracted from Module 2a Land Use Planning and Urban Transport, Sustainable Transport: A Sourcebook for Policy-makers in Developing Cities, GTZ, 2002.)

  • Business-as-usual-city – simply an extension of current development practices.
  • Compact city – increased population in the inner suburbs
  • Edge city – growth in population, housing density and employment at selected nodes, and increased investment in freeways linking these nodes.
  • Corridor city – growth along arteries arising from the central business district, radial links and upgraded public transport
  • Fringe city – growth predominantly on the outskirts
  • Ultra city – growth in regional centres within 100 km of the CBD. High-speed trains link the regional centres to the city heart.

Structural options for urban growth
Structural options for urban growth
Source: Newton, 1999

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